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RICHLAND, Washington — A brand new report from Pacific Northwest Nationwide Laboratory exhibits that alongside a 200-mile stretch of ocean off the coast of southern Oregon and northern California, floating wind farms may probably triple the Pacific Northwest’s wind energy capability whereas offsetting probably billions of {dollars} in prices for utilities, ratepayers, insurance coverage firms, and others throughout the West who bear the price of local weather change’s results.
“This analysis is all about unlocking an untapped supply of provide the place there may be restricted transmission and little means to maneuver that electrical energy as we speak,” stated Travis Douville, lead creator on the report and an advisor at PNNL who leads analysis on integrating wind vitality into the grid. “Offshore wind gives a large alternative to decarbonize the western United States.”
The nation’s energy provide is break up into three separate grids, with the western interconnection offering energy to greater than 80 million individuals over 14 states within the western United States and two Canadian provinces. The brand new report dives into future eventualities the place floating offshore wind farms are related to the shore between Coos Bay, OR, and Eureka, CA, by way of massive transmission strains — and the worth these wind farms may convey to utilities and ratepayers alike.
The advantages of offshore wind
Land-based wind farms throughout the US already produce greater than 140 gigawatts of vitality, contributing to about 10% of the nation’s vitality portfolio. At the moment, the federal authorities goals to put in 30 gigawatts of offshore wind by 2030 and to extend that quantity to 110 gigawatts of offshore wind by 2050. That a lot wind energy may energy tens of million of houses and lower greater than 78 million metric tons of carbon emissions.
One of many perks of offshore wind generators — whether or not they’re connected to the ocean flooring or floating on the floor — versus land-based is that wind over the ocean is much less variable and extra constant, stated Mark Severy, a analysis engineer at PNNL and coauthor on the report. Wind over land is usually extra variable as a result of it might be influenced by the complicated relationship between the environment and landscapes like mountains, valleys, flat plains, or forests.
Wind over the ocean additionally tends to peak within the evenings, which may assist provide energy when photo voltaic vitality dips because the solar units, Severy stated. In locations like California, the place photo voltaic vitality makes up a lot of the renewable energy, utilities may flip to wind energy within the evenings, when demand typically goes up, as a substitute of fossil fuels to energy houses.
Modeling floating offshore wind vitality
To satisfy the nation’s bold wind energy targets, potential offshore wind farms should be rigorously studied and deliberate. And together with constructing floating wind generators within the ocean, researchers may even have to determine the way to convey the ability they generate to land and join it with {the electrical} grid.
One problem is figuring out whether or not already current transmission infrastructure may help incoming vitality from offshore wind. In a earlier research, Douville and different researchers discovered that offshore wind may provide 3 gigawatts of vitality with upgrades to Oregon’s present transmission strains. That’s sufficient vitality to energy 1 million houses.
However what about sooner or later, with extra transmission strains and an elevated means to move vitality? “How do you harness offshore wind vitality in a method that permits you to adequately, reliably, and resiliently provide electrical energy sooner or later at lowest price?” Douville stated. “And what’s the function of transmission design to affect the worth of offshore wind?”
To search out out, the crew modeled completely different transmission eventualities, two of which signify a future the place offshore wind farms and new, highly effective transmission strains add a further 20 gigawatts value of wind energy to the western interconnection. Each eventualities embrace high-voltage direct present (HVDC) transmission strains to hold energy, which might then be transformed to alternating present (AC) as soon as onshore (DC can transmit larger voltages and thus extra vitality, however must be transformed to AC to be distributed to the top customers).
The 2 eventualities differ in whether or not every wind farm is related individually to shore (in a radial construction) or whether or not the wind farms are related to one another, then to shore (a spine construction).
Though each transmission eventualities provided tens of millions of {dollars} in worth, the spine construction gives barely completely different advantages, Severy stated. Within the radial situation, energy can solely go to at least one place — wherever the wind farm is related on the coast — after which distributed from there. Within the spine construction, energy will be diverted up and down the coast.
Of their investigation of the financial advantages of floating offshore wind, researchers checked out two completely different ways in which the generated energy might be delivered to shore. One was a radial construction, by which particular person wind farms (represented by a single wind turbine within the above picture) are every related to shore the place energy is delivered. (Illustration by Stephanie King for Pacific Northwest Nationwide Laboratory)
Of their investigation of the financial advantages of offshore wind, researchers checked out two completely different ways in which the generated energy might be delivered to shore. The second construction is known as a spine, by which the wind farms are related to one another, then related to shore at fewer factors. (Illustration by Stephanie King for Pacific Northwest Nationwide Laboratory)
For instance, “in occasions when there’s extra photo voltaic technology in California, we discovered that the spine gives one other pathway for that electrical energy to go to the Pacific Northwest and when there may be a whole lot of hydropower within the Pacific Northwest, the spine is one other pathway south, exterior of the congested transmission strains on the I-5 hall,” Severy stated.
Though both possibility could be costly, “the advantages exceed the prices in practically each situation,” Douville stated. In these eventualities the place advantages exceed the prices, the values of the assorted returns on funding vary between $127 million to $6 billion. These numbers signify financial savings to supply and provide energy in addition to prevented price of the consequences of air air pollution and destruction wrought by climate-change-related disasters.
Challenges for offshore wind growth
Douville burdened that many extra questions should be answered earlier than an offshore wind plan will be executed. Many of those questions will come into concentrate on the West Coast Offshore Wind Transmission Research, which kicked off in Might 2023 and goals to find out how the nation can develop transmission to harness offshore wind energy on the West Coast.
As an example, researchers and policymakers want to think about how transmission strains will fare underwater. Sea flooring depth and slope may have an effect on the place cable might be laid, and salt water will be very corrosive, stated Jason Fuller, chief vitality resilience engineer at PNNL. Upkeep might be robust, relying on how deep the cables are laid. As well as, the nation merely hasn’t used HVDC as a lot as AC on the grid, and modeling HVDC with present instruments will be tough. PNNL researchers are engaged on modeling the efficiency of HVDC strains to help the offshore wind work.
Researchers and policymakers may even have to think about different stakeholders who rely upon the ocean, together with fisheries and different coastal communities.
“Early coordinated transmission planning results in extra economical options, for utilities, ratepayers, and society as a complete,” stated Douville. “If we plan now for what we predict the grid will seem like 20 years from now, and policymakers can use these insights to information growth, we’re going to finish up with a greater resolution.”
This work was funded by the Nationwide Offshore Wind Analysis and Improvement Consortium and the Bureau of Ocean Power Administration.
Article courtesy of Pacific Northwest Nationwide Laboratory.
Featured illustration Pacific Northwest Nationwide Laboratory.
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